Sefaxersen Phase 3 Interim: Surrogate Win Sets Up the Real Test — Two-Year eGFR Data
Clinical Trial Updates

Sefaxersen Phase 3 Interim: Surrogate Win Sets Up the Real Test — Two-Year eGFR Data

Published : 24 Sept 2026

The Overview
Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and partner Roche announced positive prespecified interim results from the ongoing Phase 3 IMAgINATION study evaluating investigational sefaxersen in adults with primary IgA nephropathy (IgAN). The study met its primary endpoint, demonstrating statistically significant and clinically meaningful reductions in proteinuria, measured by 24-hour urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR), compared to placebo at 37 weeks. Sefaxersen, a once-monthly subcutaneous injection, exhibited a safety and tolerability profile consistent with previously reported data. These findings suggest sefaxersen's potential to slow disease progression and potentially reduce the long-term need for dialysis or kidney transplantation in IgAN patients. The study will continue as blinded to evaluate kidney function over two years.
Knolens Analysis

The IMAgINATION interim result is a necessary regulatory milestone, not a commercial verdict. Sefaxersen met its prespecified primary endpoint of statistically significant and clinically meaningful UPCR reduction versus placebo at 37 weeks in a Phase 3 RCT — the highest evidence tier available — but the announcement withholds the two figures that determine competitive positioning: the actual percentage reduction in UPCR and any eGFR trajectory data. [1] The study remains blinded for kidney function evaluation over two years, meaning the evidence package is structurally incomplete against the standards that have governed every recent IgAN approval and HTA decision. The most mechanistically confirmed peer in the available evidence is iptacopan (APPLAUSE-IgAN Phase 3 interim), which targets the same biological node — complement Factor B — and achieved a −38.3% UPCR change versus placebo at month 9 globally; iptacopan has already received accelerated FDA approval for IgAN, establishing first-mover advantage with an oral twice-daily formulation. [2][3] Sefaxersen's once-monthly subcutaneous ASO modality is a dosing differentiator but not a clinical one until head-to-head data exist. [4] On the HTA side, every comparable nephropathy assessment reviewed — including AIFA's classification of budesonide's added therapeutic value as 'moderate' on surrogate-only data, NICE's retention of 'considerable uncertainty' for sparsentan's long-term kidney outcomes, and CADTH's consistent application of price-reduction conditions — signals that a UPCR-only interim package will yield a conditional or moderate-value classification at launch. No precedent in the available evidence clears the full mechanistic-fit bar for an ASO targeting Factor B in IgAN, because no such agent has previously been approved; iptacopan is the closest mechanistic peer (same target, same indication, Phase 3 RCT) but is a small molecule, not an ASO, and is already approved. [5] The sharpest risk is that the two-year eGFR data, when unblinded, replicate sparsentan's experience — where the total eGFR slope did not reach statistical significance on the FDA-preferred criterion — leaving sefaxersen with a proteinuria surrogate label in a market where the mechanism is already validated by a first mover. [5][6]

IMAgINATION met its prespecified 37-week UPCR primary endpoint in a Phase 3 RCT, but no UPCR magnitude is disclosed and the two-year eGFR data — the endpoint that determines full approval and HTA classification — remain blinded and unavailable. [6]

At a Glance
IndicationIgA nephropathy (IgAN)
DrugSefaxersen
Mechanism of ActionAntisense oligonucleotide, Factor B inhibitor
CompanyIonis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Trial PhasePhase 3
Trial AcronymIMAgINATION
NCT IDNCT05797610
CategoryClinical Trial Event
Sub CategoryInterim Analysis
Therapeutic AreaNephrology & Urology
Partner CompanyRoche
Primary EndpointProteinuria reduction
Key Outcome Measure24-hour urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR)
Timepoint for Primary Endpoint37 weeks
Full Study EndpointChange in kidney function over two years, as measured by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at week 105
Patient Population Size459 people
ComparatorPlacebo
Dosage FrequencyOnce-monthly
Administration RouteSubcutaneous injection
Regulatory PlansData will be shared with health authorities

Ionis' Sefaxersen Shows Positive Phase 3 Interim Data in IgAN

Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and partner Roche announced positive prespecified interim results from the ongoing Phase 3 IMAgINATION study evaluating investigational sefaxersen in adults with primary IgA nephropathy (IgAN). The study met its primary endpoint, demonstrating statistically significant and clinically meaningful reductions in proteinuria, measured by 24-hour urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR), compared to placebo at 37 weeks. Sefaxersen, a once-monthly subcutaneous injection, exhibited a safety and tolerability profile consistent with previously reported data. These findings suggest sefaxersen's potential to slow disease progression and potentially reduce the long-term need for dialysis or kidney transplantation in IgAN patients. The study will continue as blinded to evaluate kidney function over two years.

  • The Phase 3 IMAgINATION study achieved its primary endpoint, showing sefaxersen led to statistically significant and clinically meaningful reductions in proteinuria, as measured by 24-hour urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR), compared to placebo at 37 weeks. This outcome is critical as proteinuria reduction is a key indicator of kidney damage and is strongly associated with the preservation of long-term kidney function in patients with IgA nephropathy.
  • Sefaxersen is an investigational, highly specific liver-directed antisense oligonucleotide that inhibits factor B production, making it the first RNA-targeted therapy for IgA nephropathy. It is designed to provide sustained control of the alternative complement pathway, which is crucial in IgAN pathogenesis. The drug offers the convenience of once-monthly subcutaneous self-administration, potentially enhancing patient adherence and quality of life.
  • IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a serious, chronic, and progressive autoimmune kidney disease that typically affects young adults, with up to 50% of patients progressing to end-stage kidney disease within 20 years. The positive interim data for sefaxersen positions it to directly address a primary driver of IgAN-related kidney damage, offering a potential new therapeutic approach to slow disease progression and reduce the long-term need for dialysis or kidney transplantation. The study will continue to evaluate the change in kidney function (eGFR) at week 105.

Addressing Unmet Needs in IgA Nephropathy Treatment

IgA nephropathy presents a complex therapeutic landscape where established treatments carry meaningful limitations and emerging therapies require further validation. The heterogeneity of clinical outcomes makes individual risk stratification challenging, and many clinical trials have been underpowered due to the slowly progressive nature of the disease.

  • Corticosteroid safety concerns: Full-dose methylprednisolone was associated with a significant excess of serious adverse events in the TESTING trial, including serious infections in 8.1% of the methylprednisolone group vs. 0% in the placebo group, leading to early trial termination. While a reduced-dose regimen improved the safety profile, concerns regarding adverse events continue to limit corticosteroid use to selected high-risk patients, consistent with KDIGO 2021 guidance recommending restriction of CS therapy to those who accept the high risk of adverse events.

  • Uncertainty around RAS inhibition in advanced CKD: The benefit of ACEI/ARB therapy in stage 4 CKD remains debated. In patients with a baseline eGFR of 15–20 ml/min/1.73 m², all six patients in one cohort reached ESRD with a median renal survival time of 7.0 months regardless of treatment, underscoring the limited therapeutic window at this disease stage. Use of ACEI/ARB requires careful monitoring of serum creatinine and potassium levels.

  • Limited long-term RCT evidence for non-immunosuppressive therapies: A Cochrane review of 80 studies (4,856 participants) found that available RCTs were few, small, and of insufficient duration to determine long-term benefits on kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. While RAS inhibition probably decreases proteinuria (MD −0.71 g/24 h, 95% CI −1.04 to −0.39; moderate certainty evidence), evidence for reduction in kidney failure or complete proteinuria remission remains of low certainty.

  • Proteinuria remission as an underachieved target: Data from the PROTECT trial highlight that only 21% of patients achieved complete remission of proteinuria (urine protein excretion <0.3 g/day) at any point up to Week 110, despite active treatment. Non-CR patients experienced a rate of eGFR decline of −4.2 mL/min/1.73 m²/year vs. −0.7 mL/min/1.73 m²/year in CR patients, and 14% of non-CR patients reached the composite kidney endpoint vs. 1% of CR patients — underscoring the gap between current treatment efficacy and the proteinuria targets associated with kidney function preservation.

  • Generalisability gaps in tonsillectomy evidence: Tonsillectomy data demonstrating increased remission of proteinuria (RR 1.90, 95% CI 1.45 to 2.47) and haematuria (RR 1.93, 95% CI 1.47 to 2.53) derive exclusively from Japanese patient populations, limiting applicability to broader IgAN populations and precluding wide recommendation given the potential harms of surgery.

  • Emerging therapies still under investigation: Novel agents targeting B cell activation, the alternative complement cascade, and the endothelin system — including iptacopan, evaluated in the Phase 3 APPLAUSE-IgAN study — show promise but have not yet established long-term efficacy and safety profiles sufficient for standard-of-care adoption.

IMAgINATION Study: Sefaxersen's Positive Interim Data in IgAN

Several landmark trials have shaped the evidence base for IgA nephropathy management, spanning supportive care, dual receptor antagonism, and surrogate endpoint validation. The studies below represent a range of designs — from prospective interventional cohorts to randomised phase 3 trials — each contributing distinct data on proteinuria reduction, eGFR trajectory, and hard kidney outcomes.

Study Design Population Intervention(s) Primary Endpoint Key Secondary Endpoints
PROTECT (Phase 3) Double-blind, randomised, active-controlled; 134 sites, 18 countries; 110 weeks Adults ≥18 years, biopsy-proven primary IgAN, proteinuria ≥1.0 g/day despite maximised RAS inhibition ≥12 weeks Sparsentan 400 mg oral once daily vs. irbesartan 300 mg oral once daily Change in proteinuria between treatment groups at 36 weeks eGFR slope (chronic and total 2-year); composite of kidney failure (confirmed 40% eGFR reduction, end-stage kidney disease, or all-cause mortality); safety and tolerability to 110 weeks
APPROACH (Prospective Cohort) Prospective observational; 6-month follow-up Treatment-naive IgAN patients, urinary protein ≥1 g/day, eGFR ≥30 ml/min per 1.73 m² ACEi (ramipril) or ARB (losartan) with BP target ≤130/80 mm Hg Remission of proteinuria (CR: <0.5 g/day; PR: <1 g/day with ≥50% decline from baseline and ≤25% eGFR reduction) Tolerability and discontinuation rates; predictors of remission failure
RAS Inhibition in Stage 4 CKD (Retrospective Cohort) Retrospective; immunohistochemistry analysis; median follow-up 25.5 months 50 IgAN patients with biopsy during stage 4 CKD (eGFR 15–30 ml/min/1.73 m²), 2010–2020 ACEI or ARB vs. no RAS blockade Composite of ESRD and death Renal survival time; RAS receptor expression (AT1R, AT2R, MasR, MrgD) in stable vs. progressive groups
Individual-Patient Meta-analysis (RCT Pool) Individual-patient meta-analysis; 11 randomised trials 830 IgAN patients; baseline and ~9-month proteinuria measurements, ≥1 further year follow-up for clinical outcome RAS blockade, fish oil, immunosuppression, steroids 9-month change in proteinuria as surrogate for clinical outcome Doubling of serum creatinine, ESRD, or death; proportion of treatment effect on clinical outcome explained by proteinuria change
J-CKD-DB-Ex (Retrospective Observational) Retrospective; real-world database (Japan); mean observation ~2,040 days Adult IgAN patients, baseline UPCR ≥0.5 g/gCr, eGFR ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m² ≥30% UPCR reduction at 9–12 months vs. no such reduction Composite of 40% eGFR decline from baseline or onset of CKD stage G5 Annual eGFR slope; association between magnitude of UPCR reduction and eGFR trajectory
J-IGACS (Cohort Study) Prospective cohort; joint modelling of longitudinal and survival data; median follow-up 6 years 937 biopsy-confirmed IgAN patients (mean age 39 years; 51% male) Longitudinal eGFR slope assessment Composite kidney outcome: ≥40% eGFR decline or initiation of kidney replacement therapy Hazard ratio per 1-SD eGFR slope decrease; sensitivity analyses in treated patients and those with ≥5 eGFR measurements
TCM-WINE (RCT Protocol) Single-centre, prospective, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled; 48-week treatment + follow-up to 3 years 60 participants with biopsy-proven high-risk IgAN (massive proteinuria and renal dysfunction) Yi-Qi-Qing-Jie formula (YQF) + prednisolone (± cyclophosphamide) vs. placebo-YQF + prednisolone (± cyclophosphamide) Composite: first occurrence of 40% eGFR decrease lasting ≥3 months, initiation of continuous renal replacement therapy, or CKD-related death over 3 years Mean annual eGFR decline rate (eGFR slope); proteinuria remission (<0.5 g/day) at weeks 24, 36, and 48; symptom and inflammation remission rate at week 48

Targeting the Alternative Complement Pathway in IgAN with Sefaxersen

The genetic architecture of IgAN is polygenic and complex, with nearly 20 genome-wide significant loci of small-to-moderate effect identified to date. Key susceptibility loci include regions on Chr.6p21 (HLA-DQB1/DRB1, PSMB9/TAP1, and DPA1/DPB2), Chr.1q32 (CFHR3/R1), and Chr.22q12 (HORMAD2), alongside novel associations at ST6GAL1 on 3q27.3, ACCS on 11p11.2, ODF1-KLF10 on 8q22.3, ITGAX-ITGAM on 16p11.2, and multiple independent signals within the DEFA locus. A seven-SNP genetic risk score explains 4.7% of overall IgAN risk and correlates with the known East-West gradient in disease prevalence. Genetic variants in MBL2 influence mannose-binding lectin (MBL) serum levels and complement system activation, with the MBL2 "O" allele associated with reduced event-free survival and increased alternative pathway (AP) activity. A significant genetic interaction has also been identified whereby the odds ratio for the HORMAD2 protective allele is reversed in homozygotes for a CFHR3/R1 deletion.

At the molecular level, IgAN pathogenesis is anchored in the "multi-hit hypothesis," in which aberrantly glycosylated galactose-deficient IgA1 (Gd-IgA1) serves as the central autoantigen. Abnormal B-cell glycosylation pathways produce Gd-IgA1, which is recognised by autoantibodies to form immune complexes amplified in size by the soluble IgA Fc receptor CD89, leading to mesangial deposition. APRIL (a proliferation-inducing ligand) and BAFF (B-cell activating factor) are key cytokines controlling B-cell development and differentiation of antibody-secreting cells, with APRIL and IL-6 synergistically, as well as independently, enhancing Gd-IgA1 synthesis. TLR9 activation further drives this process: injection of the TLR9 ligand CpG-oligonucleotides increases production of aberrantly glycosylated IgA and IgG-IgA immune complexes, elevates serum APRIL, and exacerbates kidney injury. At the cellular level, transglutaminase 2 (TGase2) is transported from the cytosol to the membrane of human mesangial cells through a RhoA-mediated vesicle-trafficking pathway, facilitating polymeric IgA1 interaction with the mesangium. Glomerular MBL deposition, observed in a predominantly mesangial pattern, activates the lectin complement pathway and is associated with more severe proteinuria, decreased renal function, and a lower renal remission rate.

Disease progression is driven by intrarenal inflammation initiated by immune complex deposition and complement activation across four principal cell types in the nephron. In mesangial cells, Gd-IgA1 deposition triggers enhanced cellular proliferation, extracellular matrix expansion, and inflammatory cytokine production. Mesangial-endothelial crosstalk results in hyperpermeability of the endothelium, loss of endothelial barrier proteins, and recruitment of inflammatory cells. Podocyte damage, mediated through mesangial-podocyte crosstalk involving TNF-α, TGF-β, the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS), and micro-RNAs, drives podocyte apoptosis and disorganisation of the slit diaphragm, contributing to proteinuria; podocyte density (Nv) at biopsy significantly correlates with proteinuria progression rate, with the podocytopenic group showing a significantly higher progression rate than the normopodocytic group. Tubular epithelial cell injury is mediated by filtered proteins entering the tubulointerstitium, mesangial-tubular crosstalk, and, innovatively, retinoic acid. Complement C5b-9 activation in mesangial and subepithelial areas, inversely correlated with the number of WT-1-positive podocytes, further contributes to podocyte damage. The mucosal immune system and a proposed "gut-kidney axis," including microbiota composition and nutritional status, are also implicated in triggering and modulating these intrinsic mesangial cell pathways.

Sefaxersen's Potential to Reshape the IgA Nephropathy Landscape

The treatment landscape for IgA nephropathy has undergone a marked transformation, moving beyond traditional supportive care — blood pressure control and renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blockade — toward a growing portfolio of targeted, disease-modifying therapies. Two agents have achieved particular clinical prominence. Sparsentan, a single-molecule dual endothelin angiotensin receptor antagonist, demonstrated in the phase 3 PROTECT trial (NCT03762850) that 110 weeks of treatment produced a 40% lower proteinuria versus irbesartan (geometric least-squares mean ratio 0.60, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.72), a significantly slower chronic eGFR slope (−2.7 vs. −3.8 mL/min/1.73 m² per year; difference 1.1 mL/min/1.73 m² per year, 95% CI 0.1 to 2.1; p=0.037), and a composite kidney failure event rate of 9% versus 13% in the irbesartan arm. Nefecon (targeted-release budesonide), evaluated in the phase 3 NefIgArd trial (NCT03643965), delivered a statistically significant treatment benefit in the time-weighted average eGFR over 2 years versus placebo (difference 5.05 mL/min/1.73 m², 95% CI 3.24 to 7.38; p<0.0001), supporting its full FDA approval to reduce loss of kidney function.

Beyond these approved agents, the mechanistic frontier has expanded substantially. Atacicept, a fully humanized fusion protein that inhibits both BAFF and APRIL — key drivers of pathogenic galactose-deficient IgA1 (Gd-IgA1) production — demonstrated sustained reductions in Gd-IgA1 (−66%±2%), UPCR (−52%±5%), and hematuria (−75%; 95% CI −87 to −59) over 96 weeks in an open-label extension study (ORIGIN 3, NCT04716231), with a mean annualized eGFR slope of −0.6±0.5 mL/min/1.73 m². Complement pathway inhibitors, agents targeting B-cell and plasma cell biology (including felzartamab and narsoplimab), and SGLT2 inhibitors have also entered the investigational and real-world evidence space. Real-world data on sparsentan in combination with SGLT2 inhibitors showed a sustained relative reduction in UPCR of 61% (45–95) at 1-year follow-up, with a median chronic eGFR slope of −1.5 mL/min/1.73 m² per year, even in patients already receiving SGLT2 inhibitor therapy.

A post hoc analysis of PROTECT further reinforced the clinical importance of deep proteinuria suppression: patients achieving complete remission (urine protein excretion <0.3 g/day) at any point through Week 110 had a smaller absolute eGFR change (−4.0 vs. −8.6 mL/min/1.73 m²), a slower rate of eGFR decline (−0.7 vs. −4.2 mL/min/1.73 m²/year), and only 1% reached the composite kidney endpoint versus 14% of non-remission patients. Collectively, these data reflect a paradigm shift toward proteinuria-guided, mechanism-specific treatment strategies in IgAN, though the field continues to face challenges including the absence of head-to-head trials across novel agents, limited long-term safety data, and affordability considerations.

Sefaxersen's Positive Phase 3: A New Horizon for IgA Nephropathy

The recent announcement of positive interim Phase 3 results for sefaxersen in IgA nephropathy marks a pivotal moment for patients grappling with this progressive kidney disease. By demonstrating statistically significant and clinically meaningful reductions in proteinuria, sefaxersen, a novel antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) targeting complement factor B, reinforces the critical role of the alternative complement pathway in IgAN pathogenesis. This targeted approach offers a promising avenue for disease modification, moving beyond the current landscape of therapies that often carry significant side effects or offer more generalized nephroprotection.

The success of sefaxersen not only brings a potential new treatment closer to patients but also further validates the broader ASO platform for addressing complex chronic conditions. This could unlock future development opportunities for similar precision therapies in other complement-mediated or renal diseases. However, the journey is not without its considerations. While proteinuria reduction is a strong indicator, the full two-year study will be crucial in demonstrating sustained improvements in kidney function, as long-term eGFR stabilization is the ultimate goal for patients and a key factor for regulatory and payer acceptance.

Furthermore, the safety profile of ASOs, including observations of transient transaminase elevations with sefaxersen in earlier studies and other ASOs, will require continued vigilance. The IgAN therapeutic space is also rapidly evolving, with other complement inhibitors and established agents vying for market share. Sefaxersen's once-monthly subcutaneous administration and specific mechanism of action will need to be clearly articulated to differentiate it in this competitive environment. Ultimately, these positive results offer substantial hope, but the full clinical picture and market positioning will become clearer as the study progresses and the long-term data emerges.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the life expectancy of someone with IgAN?
The life expectancy for individuals with IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is highly variable, primarily determined by the rate of disease progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD). While many patients maintain stable renal function, 20-40% may progress to ESRD within 10-20 years, which significantly impacts longevity. Prognosis is influenced by factors such as proteinuria, eGFR at diagnosis, hypertension, and response to treatment. Modern therapeutic strategies have improved long-term outcomes, but ESRD remains a major determinant of reduced life expectancy.
What is the best medicine for IgA nephropathy?
Management of IgA nephropathy primarily focuses on reducing proteinuria and controlling blood pressure, with renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blockade (ACE inhibitors or ARBs) as a cornerstone therapy. Targeted-release budesonide (Tarpeyo/Kinpeygo) is approved to reduce proteinuria in adults at risk of rapid progression. The treatment landscape is evolving, with ongoing research into complement inhibitors, SGLT2 inhibitors, and other novel agents.
Which famous people have IgA nephropathy?
There are no widely publicized or confirmed cases of famous individuals who have openly disclosed an IgA nephropathy diagnosis. Public figures often keep specific medical conditions private, and while some may share general kidney disease diagnoses, the specific etiology of IgA nephropathy is rarely specified.
What is the latest research on IgA nephropathy?
Latest research in IgA nephropathy continues to refine the understanding of its pathogenesis, particularly the role of aberrantly glycosylated IgA1 and the complement system. This has fueled the development of targeted therapies, including complement inhibitors (e.g., iptacopan, narsoplimab) and gut-targeted corticosteroids (e.g., budesonide, Nefecon/Tarpeyo), which have demonstrated efficacy in clinical trials. Additionally, SGLT2 inhibitors are increasingly recognized for their renoprotective benefits, while dual endothelin and angiotensin receptor antagonists like sparsentan offer another therapeutic avenue. Ongoing studies are also exploring novel biomarkers for disease progression and treatment response.
How many people suffer from IgAN?
IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is the most common primary glomerulonephritis globally, affecting an estimated 2.5 million people worldwide. Its prevalence varies significantly by geography, with higher rates observed in Asian populations compared to Caucasian or African populations. While incidence is approximately 2.5 to 10 cases per 100,000 people per year, the overall prevalence is estimated to be around 1-2% of the general population in some regions.
What are the typical findings in an IgA nephropathy biopsy?
The hallmark finding in IgA nephropathy biopsies is dominant or co-dominant mesangial IgA deposition, typically accompanied by C3 and often IgG or IgM, visualized by immunofluorescence. Light microscopy frequently reveals mesangial hypercellularity and matrix expansion, with electron microscopy confirming electron-dense deposits within the mesangium. Depending on disease severity, additional features may include segmental glomerulosclerosis, endocapillary proliferation, crescents, tubular atrophy, and interstitial fibrosis, as categorized by the Oxford classification.
What are the current clinical trials for IgA nephropathy?
Current clinical trials for IgA nephropathy are heavily concentrated on complement pathway inhibition, with agents like iptacopan (Factor B) and narsoplimab (MASP-2) in late-stage development. Beyond approved therapies such as gut-targeted budesonide and the dual endothelin receptor antagonist/ARB sparsentan, ongoing research explores novel immunomodulators and B-cell targeted approaches. SGLT2 inhibitors also continue to be evaluated for their renoprotective effects in IgAN patient cohorts.

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