Remibrutinib's Phase III Win Is Real, But the Disability Endpoint Language Is the Tell
Clinical Trial Updates

Remibrutinib's Phase III Win Is Real, But the Disability Endpoint Language Is the Tell

Published : 01 Sept 2026

The Overview
Novartis announced positive topline results from its Phase III REMODEL-1/-2 trials for remibrutinib in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). Remibrutinib, an oral Bruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor, demonstrated superiority over teriflunomide in significantly reducing annualized relapse rate (ARR) and inflammatory brain lesions. The trials also showed clinically meaningful reductions in disability progression, with a positive trend in 3-month confirmed disability progression (3mCDP) and nominal significance in 6-month confirmed disability progression (6mCDP) in a combined analysis. The drug maintained a favorable safety profile, consistent with its broader development program, notably with no liver safety signal. Novartis plans to present these late-breaking data at MSToronto2026 and seek global regulatory approval.
Knolens Analysis

Remibrutinib's REMODEL-1/-2 results establish Phase 3 RCT-level superiority over teriflunomide on annualized relapse rate and inflammatory brain lesions — the primary efficacy threshold that every successful RMS program in the available evidence base has cleared. The dual-trial structure and active comparator design are structurally sound: teriflunomide is confirmed as an HTA-accepted active comparator across multiple reviewed programs, including the ASCLEPIOS trials for ofatumumab and the ULTIMATE trials for ublituximab, both of which are anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies — mechanistically distinct from BTK inhibition and flagged accordingly as contextual, not mechanistic, comparators. [1] No prior BTK inhibitor in RMS has been approved or HTA-reviewed in the available evidence, meaning no precedent clears the mechanistic-fit bar; this is stated plainly rather than papered over with a forced analogy. [2] The disability progression language in the press release is the sharpest analytical signal: 'positive trend' for 3-month confirmed disability progression and 'nominal significance' for 6-month confirmed disability progression in a combined analysis. The G-BA's 2024 ublituximab decision — a Phase 3 RCT against teriflunomide, mechanistically distinct but the closest design-level comparator available — demonstrates that ARR superiority without statistically robust disability endpoint corroboration yields only a 'minor' additional benefit rating. [1] Ofatumumab achieved full statistical significance on both 3mCDP and 6mCDP in ASCLEPIOS I/II pooled analysis; remibrutinib's combined-analysis 'nominal significance' on 6mCDP is a weaker signal. The explicit absence of a liver safety signal is a genuine differentiator given class-level hepatotoxicity concerns documented in the BTK inhibitor meta-analysis. [3][4] The sharpest risk: whether the 6mCDP combined analysis was pre-specified or post-hoc will be the decisive HTA question, and that answer is not in the press release.

REMODEL-1/-2 deliver Phase 3 RCT superiority on ARR and MRI endpoints, but 3mCDP is described only as a 'positive trend' and 6mCDP as 'nominal significance in a combined analysis' — neither constitutes pre-specified primary endpoint success, and the pre-specification status of the combined analysis is not disclosed in the press release.

At a Glance
IndicationRelapsing multiple sclerosis
DrugRemibrutinib
Mechanism of ActionBruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor
CompanyNovartis
Trial PhasePhase III
Trial AcronymREMODEL-1, REMODEL-2
NCT IDNCT05147220, NCT05156281
CategoryClinical Trial Event
Sub CategoryTopline Results Positive
Therapeutic AreaNeuroscience
ComparatorTeriflunomide
Primary EndpointAnnualized relapse rate (ARR)
Key Secondary Endpoints3-month confirmed disability progression (3mCDP), 6-month confirmed disability progression (6mCDP), number of new/enlarging T2 lesions per year, number of Gd+ T1 lesions per scan, serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) concentration, percentage of participants with no evidence of disease activity (NEDA-3)
Patient Population SizeApproximately 2,000 patients
Patient CharacteristicsAdults with relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS), evidence of recent disease activity, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) of 0.0–5.5
DosageRemibrutinib 100 mg
Conference PresentationMSToronto2026
FDA Approval Date (CSU)September 30, 2025
EMA Approval Date (CSU)April 27, 2026
Approved Indication (CSU)Chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU)

Novartis's Remibrutinib Shows Superiority in Phase III RMS Trials

Novartis announced positive topline results from its Phase III REMODEL-1/-2 trials for remibrutinib in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). Remibrutinib, an oral Bruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor, demonstrated superiority over teriflunomide in significantly reducing annualized relapse rate (ARR) and inflammatory brain lesions. The trials also showed clinically meaningful reductions in disability progression, with a positive trend in 3-month confirmed disability progression (3mCDP) and nominal significance in 6-month confirmed disability progression (6mCDP) in a combined analysis. The drug maintained a favorable safety profile, consistent with its broader development program, notably with no liver safety signal. Novartis plans to present these late-breaking data at MSToronto2026 and seek global regulatory approval.

  • The REMODEL-1/-2 trials met their primary endpoint, demonstrating that remibrutinib significantly reduced the annualized relapse rate (ARR) compared to teriflunomide in adults with relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). Furthermore, the trials showed superiority of remibrutinib over teriflunomide on all key secondary endpoints within each trial, including a significant reduction in inflammatory brain lesions as measured by MRI, underscoring the drug's robust impact on disease activity.
  • Remibrutinib achieved a clinically meaningful delay in disability progression, a critical outcome for patients with multiple sclerosis. A preplanned combined analysis of the REMODEL-1/-2 trials revealed a positive trend in 3-month confirmed disability progression (3mCDP) and nominally significant 6-month confirmed disability progression (6mCDP), indicating a potential benefit in slowing the long-term worsening of disability in the RMS patient population.
  • The oral BTK inhibitor remibrutinib demonstrated a favorable safety profile across both Phase III trials, consistent with its extensive development program involving over 4,500 clinical trial participants in multiple indications. Importantly, the trials reported no liver safety signal, including no cases meeting Hy’s Law criteria, which addresses a key concern often associated with some oral therapies and highlights a differentiated benefit-risk profile.

Remibrutinib Delivers Robust Efficacy and Favorable Safety in RMS

Three recent studies offer meaningful insights into the efficacy and safety of disease-modifying therapies in relapsing multiple sclerosis.

The FREEDOMS extension trial evaluated long-term fingolimod treatment in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Patients in the continuous-fingolimod groups demonstrated a lower annualized relapse rate (p < 0.0001), reduced brain volume loss (p < 0.05), and a proportionately higher rate of freedom from 3-month confirmed disability progression (p < 0.05) compared with patients who had been on placebo. Within the placebo-fingolimod groups, annualized relapse rate was lower (p < 0.001, both) and brain volume loss was reduced after switching (p < 0.01, placebo-fingolimod 0.5 mg). Rates and types of adverse events were similar across groups, and no new safety issues were reported. The study provided Class IV evidence that long-term fingolimod treatment is well-tolerated and reduces relapse rates, disability progression, and MRI effects in patients with RRMS.

A pooled post hoc analysis of the FREEDOMS/FREEDOMS II trials examined the long-term effects of fingolimod 0.5 mg in young adult patients with RRMS aged ≤ 30 years, followed for up to 8 years (96 months). From month 0 to month 96, a significantly higher proportion of patients in the immediate treatment group achieved 6-month confirmed disability improvement (58.2% vs. 30.5%, p = 0.0206) and 6-month confirmed disability improvement-plus (70.6% vs. 42.3%, p = 0.0149), while significantly fewer reached 6-month confirmed disability progression (20.1% vs. 34.7%, p = 0.0058) or an Expanded Disability Status Scale score ≥ 4 (24.1% vs. 34.1%, p = 0.0041). Annualized relapse rates up to month 96 were lower in the immediate versus delayed group (0.16 vs. 0.38, p < 0.0001), and a higher proportion of patients in the immediate group were free of new/newly enlarging T2 lesions at month 48 (31.0% vs. 5.0%, p = 0.0011).

A network meta-analysis of adverse effects of immunotherapies for multiple sclerosis, encompassing 123 trials with 57,682 participants, assessed the relative safety of multiple agents including fingolimod, ocrelizumab, ozanimod, natalizumab, and others. Low-certainty evidence suggested that fingolimod met the non-inferiority criterion versus placebo for serious adverse events (relative risk 1.05, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.20), though low-certainty evidence indicated it may have increased withdrawals due to adverse events compared with placebo (relative risk 1.79, 95% CI 1.40 to 2.28). For ocrelizumab, low-certainty evidence suggested it met non-inferiority versus placebo for serious adverse events (relative risk 0.85, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.07). The analysis concluded that there is mostly low and very low-certainty evidence that drugs used to treat MS may not increase serious adverse events, but may increase withdrawals compared with placebo.

Unpacking the REMODEL-1/-2 Trial Design and Endpoints

Across the relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) therapeutic landscape, clinical trials have employed a range of designs — from randomized double-blind controlled trials to open-label assessor-masked studies — with endpoints spanning annualized relapse rate (ARR), MRI-based lesion metrics, disability progression, and patient-reported outcomes. The trials below represent key studies identified in the RMS literature, covering phase II through phase IV designs across multiple drug classes.

Trial / Study Drug(s) Phase Design Primary Endpoint Key Secondary Endpoints
TRANSFORMS (NCT00340834) Fingolimod (0.5 mg or 1.25 mg oral) vs. intramuscular interferon beta-1a 30 mcg weekly Phase III 12-month, randomized, double-blind, double-dummy Annualized relapse rate (ARR) New or enlarged T2-weighted MRI lesions at 12 months; disability progression sustained for at least 3 months
Xacrel vs. Ocrevus (NCT04966338) Ocrelizumab biosimilar (Xacrel) vs. originator (Ocrevus) Phase III Randomized, equivalency trial; 96 weeks; 1:1 ratio (N = 170) Equivalency in ARR at week 48 (predefined margin: −0.2 to 0.2) Time to onset of disability progression confirmed at 12 and 24 weeks; proportion of relapse-free patients; MRI evaluations; safety; immunogenicity over 96 weeks
APLIOS (NCT03560739) Ofatumumab 20 mg subcutaneous Phase II (biomarker/imaging study) 12-week study; frequent sNfL sampling (14 time points) and monthly MRI (N = 284) Temporal association between serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) T1 lesion development Prognostic value of baseline sNfL ("high" vs. "low") for clinical relapse or Gd+ T1 activity; individual patient-level Gd+ T1 lesion development
EPOC (NCT01216072) Fingolimod 0.5 mg oral vs. standard-of-care DMTs Phase IV Randomized, open-label, multi-center; 6-month treatment + 3-month open-label extension; 3:1 randomization (N = 1053) Change from baseline in treatment satisfaction (global satisfaction sub-scale of the Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication) Changes in perceived effectiveness and side-effects; activities of daily living; fatigue; depression; quality of life
Cladribine real-world study (Latin America, 2019–2024) Cladribine (CLAD) Observational (real-world) Multicenter, prospective, observational; N = 167 patients from Chile, Mexico, Argentina, and Ecuador ARR; NEDA-3 achievement MRI activity; disability progression; cognitive and motor outcomes; patient-reported outcomes (PROs); safety (lymphopenia grading, infections)
Cladribine single-center cohort (24-month) Cladribine Observational (real-world) Retrospective, single-center; N = 71; minimum 24 months clinical and MRI follow-up NEDA-3 at 12 and 24 months Lymphopenia (graded longitudinally); MRI activity at 6, 12, and 24 months; safety events
Systematic review of RMS trial designs (2024) Multiple DMTs (60 trials evaluated) Phase II and III Systematic review across ClinicalTrials.gov, EU Clinical Trials Register, Japan Registry of Clinical Trials ARR (56% of adult confirmatory trials); NEDA-3 (13%); cumulative Gd+ T1 lesions (56% of adult dose-finding trials); combined unique active lesions (22%); overall disability response score (22%); ARR (38% of pediatric confirmatory trials); time to first relapse (25%) Dominant design: randomized controlled parallel-arms trial; adult phase III: active-controlled double-blind trial (53%), active-controlled open-label assessor-masking (16%); pediatric phase III: active-controlled double-blind trial (38%), active-controlled open-label non-masking (25%)
Brain volume loss ITC / NMA (2024) Fingolimod, ozanimod, teriflunomide, alemtuzumab, ponesimod, interferons, natalizumab Indirect treatment comparison (systematic review + meta-analysis) Model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) and network meta-analysis (NMA) of randomized controlled trials Brain volume loss (BVL) relative to placebo at two years Mean difference in BVL vs. placebo: fingolimod (MD = 0.25; 95% CI = 0.15–0.36); ozanimod (MD = 0.26; 95% CI = 0.12–0.41); teriflunomide (MD = 0.38; 95% CI = 0.20–0.55); alemtuzumab (MD = 0.38; 95% CI = 0.10–0.67); ponesimod (MD = 0.71; 95% CI = 0.48–0.95)
Ofatumumab vs. oral therapies ITC (2024) Ofatumumab vs. cladribine, fingolimod, ozanimod Indirect treatment comparison Propensity score (PS) analyses and simulated treatment comparisons (STCs) using individual patient data (IPD) and summary-level data ARR; 3-month confirmed disability progression (3mCDP); 6-month CDP (6mCDP) Not reported
PIRA and brain atrophy cohort study (2022) Not applicable (observational) Observational, longitudinal cohort Median follow-up 3.2 years (IQR 2.0–4.9); N = 516 RMS patients; 1904 brain MRI scans; propensity score matching Mean difference in annual percentage change (MD-APC) in brain volume/cortical thickness between patient groups MD-APC in brain volume loss: PIRA vs. stable (MD-APC, −0.36; 95% CI, −0.60 to −0.12; P = .02); relapsing vs. stable (MD-APC, −0.18; 95% CI, −0.34 to −0.02; P = .04)

Beyond RMS: Remibrutinib's Expanding Therapeutic Horizon

Remibrutinib is being investigated across several immune-mediated and autoallergic indications beyond relapsing multiple sclerosis, reflecting the broad relevance of BTK inhibition in B cell- and myeloid cell-driven pathology. The clinical programme spans dermatological and systemic autoimmune conditions, with intervention models ranging from dose-finding phase 2b studies to large randomised phase 3 trials.

  • Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU) — Phase 2b dose-finding: A randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial evaluated remibrutinib at seven dose levels (10 mg once daily, 35 mg once daily, 100 mg once daily, 10 mg twice daily, 25 mg twice daily, 100 mg twice daily, or placebo) in a 1:1:1:1:1:1:1 ratio over 12 weeks in patients inadequately controlled with second-generation H-antihistamines (NCT03926611). The primary endpoints were weekly Urticaria Activity Score change from baseline at week 4 and safety.

  • Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU) — Phase 3 (REMIX-1 and REMIX-2): Two randomised, placebo-controlled studies (NCT05030311; NCT05032157) randomised patients 2:1 to oral remibrutinib 25 mg twice daily or placebo during a 24-week double-blind placebo-controlled period, followed by a 28-week open-label treatment period (up to 52 weeks). The primary endpoint was change from baseline in weekly Urticaria Activity Score at week 12.

  • Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU) — Phase 3b (RECLAIM, NCT06868212): A US-based, multicenter, randomised, double-blind, double-dummy study will randomise approximately 400 patients 1:1 to oral remibrutinib (25 mg twice daily) or subcutaneous dupilumab (600 mg loading dose; 300 mg every 2 weeks), in addition to second-generation H-antihistamines, over a 12-week core treatment period. The primary endpoint is absolute change from baseline in weekly Urticaria Activity Score at week 4.

  • Sjögren's Syndrome: Remibrutinib has been identified as being in phase 2 clinical trials for Sjögren's syndrome, reflecting its potential in systemic autoimmune conditions driven by B cell and Fc receptor signalling.

  • Other immune-mediated dermatological conditions: BTK inhibitors, including remibrutinib, are noted as being explored in conditions such as pemphigus, hidradenitis suppurativa, systemic lupus erythematosus, and atopic dermatitis; however, The knowledge base does not have sufficient information on this aspect.

Remibrutinib's Pivotal Data: Reshaping the Oral MS Treatment Landscape

The positive topline results from Novartis' Phase III REMODEL-1/-2 trials for remibrutinib in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) mark a significant moment for the MS treatment landscape. Demonstrating superiority over teriflunomide, an established oral disease-modifying therapy (DMT), in reducing annualized relapse rate (ARR) and inflammatory brain lesions is a substantial achievement. This positions remibrutinib as a formidable contender, potentially offering a new standard for oral treatment in RMS.

Beyond relapse reduction, the trials also reported clinically meaningful reductions in disability progression, with nominal significance in 6-month confirmed disability progression (6mCDP) in a combined analysis. This is a critical differentiator, as existing evidence indicates that many current DMTs have limited impact on progressive disability. The ability of remibrutinib, a Bruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor, to address this unmet need is likely linked to its dual mechanism of action, inhibiting both pathogenic B cell autoreactivity and direct anti-inflammatory effects in microglia, thereby targeting both peripheral and central nervous system (CNS) inflammation.

Furthermore, the favorable safety profile, notably the absence of a liver safety signal, is a key competitive advantage. While other BTK inhibitors have faced varied safety profiles, this clean signal for remibrutinib could accelerate its adoption and provide reassurance to clinicians and patients. However, the MS market remains highly competitive, with numerous DMTs and other BTK inhibitors in advanced development. The long-term safety profile, particularly regarding any class-specific adverse events like bleeding risks seen with some BTKi, will be under close scrutiny. While promising for RMS, the broader impact on progressive MS forms, where CNS compartmentalized inflammation is paramount, will be a key area for future investigation and differentiation, especially given the heterogeneous outcomes observed with other BTKi in progressive MS trials. Ultimately, remibrutinib's data suggest it could become a significant oral treatment option, reshaping the treatment paradigm for RMS and potentially beyond.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the sister disease to MS?
Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder (NMOSD) is often considered a "sister disease" to Multiple Sclerosis (MS). Both are autoimmune demyelinating diseases affecting the central nervous system, but they have distinct pathophysiologies, clinical presentations, and treatment paradigms. NMOSD is primarily characterized by severe optic neuritis and transverse myelitis, often driven by autoantibodies against aquaporin-4 (AQP4) or myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein (MOG), differentiating it from MS.
What are the side effects of remibrutinib?
Common adverse events reported in clinical trials for remibrutinib include headache, nausea, diarrhea, and upper respiratory tract infections. Other frequently observed side effects include nasopharyngitis, dizziness, fatigue, and rash. As with other BTK inhibitors, there is a potential for elevated liver enzymes, and clinicians should be aware of class effects like bleeding risk, though remibrutinib is designed for improved selectivity.
What is the new Wonder drug for MS?
There is no single "wonder drug" for Multiple Sclerosis that has recently emerged as a definitive cure or paradigm-shifting therapy. However, the MS treatment landscape continues to advance with new highly effective disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) offering improved efficacy, safety profiles, and administration options. Recent significant approvals include ublituximab (Briumvi), a CD20-directed cytolytic antibody, which offers a shorter infusion time compared to other anti-CD20 agents, expanding treatment choices for relapsing forms of MS. The focus remains on personalized treatment strategies utilizing a growing arsenal of high-efficacy agents.
What is the average life expectancy for someone with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis?
Individuals with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) generally have a life expectancy that is slightly reduced compared to the general population, typically by approximately 5 to 10 years. However, significant advancements in disease-modifying therapies and symptomatic management have substantially improved outcomes, leading to a near-normal life expectancy for many patients. Individual prognosis can be influenced by factors such as disease severity, disability progression, and the presence of comorbidities.
How close are we to a cure for MS?
A definitive cure for Multiple Sclerosis, involving complete disease eradication and reversal of existing damage, remains elusive. While highly effective disease-modifying therapies significantly slow progression and reduce relapses, current research focuses on neuroprotection, neurorepair (e.g., remyelination strategies), and immune tolerance rather than an imminent single curative intervention. The complex interplay of autoimmune attack and neurodegeneration presents substantial challenges to achieving a complete cure.
Does relapsing MS get worse over time?
Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) is characterized by relapses followed by periods of remission, but most individuals experience a gradual accumulation of disability over time. This progression often involves incomplete recovery from relapses and, for many, a transition to secondary progressive MS (SPMS), where neurological function progressively worsens independent of rellapses. Ongoing neurodegeneration and lesion accumulation contribute to this long-term worsening, even with disease-modifying therapies.
What new treatment for MS will be available in 2026?
Several Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitors are anticipated to become new treatment options for multiple sclerosis around 2026, pending successful completion of ongoing Phase 3 clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approvals. This class includes candidates like fenebrutinib, tolebrutinib, evobrutinib, and remibrutinib, which are being investigated for their potential to modulate both B-cell and myeloid cell activity. Their market entry would provide new oral therapies for both relapsing and potentially progressive forms of MS.
How close are we to remyelination?
Significant progress has been made in identifying and testing therapeutic strategies to promote remyelination, moving beyond neuroprotection to active myelin repair. Multiple compounds targeting pathways like LXR, RXR, and HDAC are currently in various phases of clinical trials for demyelinating diseases such as multiple sclerosis. While no approved remyelinating therapies are yet available, the field is rapidly advancing with promising candidates showing potential to restore myelin and neuronal function, suggesting we are closer than ever to clinical translation.

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