Lumateperone Mania Data: Dual-Pole Label Ambition Meets Single-Trial, Placebo-Only Evidence Gap
Clinical Trial Updates

Lumateperone Mania Data: Dual-Pole Label Ambition Meets Single-Trial, Placebo-Only Evidence Gap

Published : 24 Sept 2026

The Overview
Johnson & Johnson announced positive topline results from the pivotal Phase 3 Study 451 evaluating CAPLYTA® (lumateperone) for the treatment of manic episodes, with or without mixed features, in adults with bipolar I disorder. The study met its primary endpoint, demonstrating a statistically significant and rapid reduction in manic symptoms versus placebo at Week 3, with significant improvement observed as early as Day 3. CAPLYTA® 42mg once-daily showed a 4.8-point greater reduction in Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) total score compared to placebo (p<.0001). Patients also showed significantly greater improvement in overall illness severity and twice as many achieved clinical response. The safety and tolerability profile was consistent with its established profile, supporting its potential to address both depressive and acute manic episodes in bipolar I disorder.
Knolens Analysis

Study 451 delivers a statistically clean pivotal result — a 4.8-point YMRS separation from placebo at Week 3 (p<.0001) with onset as early as Day 3 — but the evidence package as publicly disclosed carries structural gaps that will define the regulatory and market access trajectory more than the headline p-value. The result is genuine: a Phase 3 RCT meeting its pre-specified primary endpoint at the highest evidence tier. What it is not is a complete value dossier. No active comparator arm is described, meaning the 4.8-point separation cannot be benchmarked against any approved agent from the available data. The responder claim — 'twice as many achieved clinical response' — omits absolute rates, preventing independent assessment of clinical magnitude. The safety characterization ('consistent with its established profile') provides no EPS incidence, weight gain, or metabolic figures, which are the dimensions on which HTA bodies have historically differentiated agents in this class. The PPDD analysis identified cariprazine (D2/D3 partial agonist, three pivotal placebo-controlled mania RCTs, YMRS separations of -4.3 to -6.1 points) and asenapine (multi-receptor antagonist, ARES 3A/3B, 3-week YMRS primary, olanzapine active comparator arm) as the most contextually comparable precedents — both mechanistically distinct from lumateperone and flagged accordingly, usable only for endpoint-structure and HTA-process benchmarking. [1] No precedent clears the full mechanistic-fit bar. The strategic thesis rests on dual-pole positioning: lumateperone already holds a bipolar depression approval, and a successful mania filing would create a single-agent solution across both poles of bipolar I disorder — a profile CADTH explicitly identified as the feature most likely to support first-line positioning when reviewing cariprazine. The sharpest risk is that without active-comparator data, long-term maintenance evidence, and granular safety figures, HTA bodies are likely to anchor reimbursement to cost-minimisation against established generics, limiting the commercial upside of an otherwise credible regulatory package.

Study 451 met its YMRS primary endpoint at p<.0001 in a Phase 3 RCT — highest evidence tier — but the public package omits absolute responder rates, EPS/weight figures, active-comparator data, and maintenance results, all of which HTA bodies have required for differentiated reimbursement in this class.

At a Glance
IndicationManic episodes associated with bipolar I disorder
DrugLumateperone
Mechanism of ActionSerotonin 5-HT2A receptor antagonist, dopamine D2 receptor partial agonist
CompanyJohnson & Johnson
Trial PhasePhase 3
Trial AcronymStudy 451
NCT IDNCT06462586
CategoryClinical Trial Event
Sub CategoryTopline Results Positive
Therapeutic AreaNeuroscience
Primary EndpointReduction in Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) total score
Key Secondary EndpointClinical Global Impression–Severity (CGI-S) score
Dosage42mg once-daily
ComparatorPlacebo
Statistical Measure (YMRS Reduction)4.8-point greater reduction vs placebo
Statistical Measure (p-value)<.0001
Clinical Response Rate (CAPLYTA)45.8%
Onset of ActionDay 3
Conference Name2026 Psych Congress Annual Meeting
Global Prevalence of Bipolar Disorder37 million people worldwide

CAPLYTA® Shows Rapid, Significant Improvement in Bipolar Mania

Johnson & Johnson announced positive topline results from the pivotal Phase 3 Study 451 evaluating CAPLYTA® (lumateperone) for the treatment of manic episodes, with or without mixed features, in adults with bipolar I disorder. The study met its primary endpoint, demonstrating a statistically significant and rapid reduction in manic symptoms versus placebo at Week 3, with significant improvement observed as early as Day 3. CAPLYTA® 42mg once-daily showed a 4.8-point greater reduction in Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) total score compared to placebo (p<.0001). Patients also showed significantly greater improvement in overall illness severity and twice as many achieved clinical response. The safety and tolerability profile was consistent with its established profile, supporting its potential to address both depressive and acute manic episodes in bipolar I disorder.

  • The Phase 3 Study 451 successfully met its primary endpoint, demonstrating a statistically significant 4.8-point greater reduction in the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) total score for CAPLYTA® 42mg compared to placebo at Week 3 (effect size −0.69; p<.0001). Notably, significant improvement in manic symptoms was observed as early as Day 3, and these benefits were sustained throughout the three-week study period, highlighting the drug's rapid therapeutic action.
  • Beyond the primary endpoint, CAPLYTA® also showed significant improvements in overall illness severity, as measured by the Clinical Global Impression–Severity (CGI-S) score, a key secondary endpoint (least-squares mean difference [LSMD], –0.5; P<.0001). Furthermore, the drug demonstrated a superior clinical response rate, with 45.8% of CAPLYTA®-treated patients achieving a ≥50% reduction in YMRS total score, compared to 20.9% in the placebo group (p<.0001).
  • The safety and tolerability profile of CAPLYTA® 42mg was consistent with its established profile, showing low rates of discontinuation. The most common treatment-related adverse events reported at a rate of at least 5% with CAPLYTA® and at least twice the rate of placebo were dry mouth (7.9% vs. 3.4%) and nausea (7.9% vs. 2.3%), reinforcing its potential as a well-tolerated treatment option for acute mania.

Addressing the Unmet Needs in Bipolar I Mania Treatment

Managing manic episodes in bipolar I disorder remains a persistent clinical challenge, with current pharmacological approaches constrained by tolerability issues, adherence failures, and incomplete efficacy across episode types. Despite a range of approved agents, significant gaps remain in achieving sustained remission and preventing relapse across the full spectrum of bipolar I presentations.

  • Adherence to maintenance pharmacotherapy is a common failure point, exposing patients to high risk of illness relapse and rehospitalization. Long-acting injectable formulations such as risperidone long-acting injectable (RLAI) have been explored to address this, though responder-enriched trial designs and exclusion of important clinical subgroups may limit translation of efficacy results to routine care settings.

  • Differential efficacy across episode polarity is a recognized limitation. RLAI, for example, appeared more effective for preventing manic/mixed episodes than depressive episodes during maintenance treatment, leaving depressive relapse prevention as an ongoing unmet need.

  • Extrapyramidal side effects (EPS), sedation, weight gain, and prolactin elevation complicate long-term tolerability. Depot typical neuroleptics carry risks of EPS and tardive dyskinesia that may exceed those seen in schizophrenia populations, and may also exacerbate depressive symptoms. Newer agents such as cariprazine showed akathisia in 32.6% of patients in a 16-week open-label study, with akathisia being the most frequent AE leading to discontinuation (4.7%).

  • Relapse prediction and remission maintenance remain imprecise. In a pooled analysis of 929 bipolar I patients, 46.0% experienced symptomatic relapse or recurrence during maintenance follow-up. A Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD-21) total score <4 was identified as a better predictor of maintained remission than the conventional HAMD-21 score <8 threshold, with rapid cycling and gender also emerging as significant predictors of relapse.

  • Rapid-cycling patients represent a particularly refractory subgroup. Evidence from the STEP-BD study found that rapid-cycling patients had 3 times more depressive episodes with antidepressant continuation compared to non-rapid-cycling patients (1.29 vs. 0.42 episodes/year, P = .04), underscoring the need for episode-subtype-specific treatment strategies.

  • Trial design limitations constrain the generalizability of efficacy data. Monotherapy placebo-controlled trials remain the regulatory gold standard, yet the confounding effects of co-medication, exclusion of comorbid anxiety disorders, and minimum severity thresholds (e.g., HAM-D >20 for trial entry, with best assay sensitivity at HAM-D >24) all affect how broadly findings can be applied in real-world clinical practice.

Pivotal Phase 3 Study 451: CAPLYTA's Efficacy in Bipolar Mania

Several randomized, controlled trials have evaluated pharmacological interventions for acute manic and mixed episodes in bipolar I disorder, spanning monotherapy and combination therapy designs across adult and pediatric populations. The trials employed the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) as the primary efficacy instrument, with response and remission as key secondary endpoints, and systematically captured adverse event profiles to characterize tolerability.

Trial / Intervention Design Population Primary Endpoint Key Secondary Endpoints Notable Safety Findings
Quetiapine vs. Lithium (NCT00893581) 6-week, randomized, double-blind 109 adolescents with acute manic/mixed episode, early course bipolar I disorder (quetiapine n=58; lithium n=51) Baseline-to-endpoint change in YMRS score Response (≥50% decrease in YMRS); remission (YMRS ≤12, CDRS-R ≤28, CGI-BP-S ≤3) Quetiapine: somnolence (63.8%), headaches (55.2%), tremor (36.2%), dizziness (36.2%); Lithium: headaches (60.8%), nausea (39.2%), somnolence (27.5%), tremor (27.5%); quetiapine associated with significantly more somnolence, dizziness, and weight gain
Adjunctive Ziprasidone vs. Placebo (NCT00312494) Double-blind RCT; adjunctive to lithium or divalproex Adults with bipolar I disorder Change from baseline in YMRS score (site-based and computer-administered) Eligible vs. ineligible subgroup signal detection (exploratory) Not reported in detail; focus was on eligibility criteria impact on signal detection
Quetiapine Monotherapy and Combination Therapy (pooled, 4 studies) Double-blind, placebo-controlled; monotherapy (12 weeks) or combination with lithium (mean 0.76 mEq/L) or divalproex (mean 68.6 µg/mL) (3 and 6 weeks) Adults with bipolar I disorder experiencing acute mania Adverse event incidence; SAS and BARS scores Weight change; treatment-related discontinuations; extrapyramidal symptoms; prolactin levels Common AEs (≥5% and ≥2× placebo rate): somnolence, dry mouth, weight gain, dizziness, asthenia, pharyngitis, postural hypotension; mean weight change: monotherapy +1.8 vs. −0.15 kg (quetiapine vs. placebo); combination +1.97 vs. +0.27 kg; EPS not significantly different from placebo
Asenapine vs. Olanzapine vs. Placebo (pooled, 2 studies) Two 3-week randomized controlled studies (pooled post hoc) ASE n=372, OLA n=391, PL n=197; acute manic/mixed episodes, bipolar I disorder Early YMRS or CGI-BP severity improvement (≥15%, ≥20%, ≥25% YMRS reduction; ≥1-point CGI-BP change) at days 2, 4, 7 Response (YMRS ≥50% reduction; CGI-BP "minimally ill" or better) and remission (YMRS ≤12; CGI-BP "not at all ill") at week 3 Not reported in this analysis
Oxcarbazepine vs. Divalproex Sodium 12-week, randomized, double-blind pilot study 60 adults with acute mania (DSM-IV), baseline YMRS ≥20; oxcarbazepine 1,000–2,400 mg/day vs. divalproex 750–2,000 mg/day Mean decrease in YMRS score from baseline Remission (YMRS ≤12); relapse (YMRS ≥15); time to symptomatic remission Adverse events in 66.7% (divalproex) vs. 30% (oxcarbazepine), p<0.01
Aripiprazole Maintenance (26-week + 74-week extension) 26-week randomized, double-blind study with 74-week extension (100 weeks total double-blind); also a separate comparison vs. placebo and lithium for up to 12 weeks Adults with bipolar I disorder, primarily enrolled during manic state Efficacy and tolerability of aripiprazole monotherapy in maintenance Prevention of relapse; body composition and metabolic parameters Mean weight change: +0.4 (0.8) kg (aripiprazole) vs. −1.9 (0.8) kg (placebo) (P=NS); clinically significant weight increase (≥7%): 20% (aripiprazole) vs. 5% (placebo) (P=0.01); EPS: 22% (aripiprazole) vs. 15% (placebo)
Lamotrigine vs. Placebo — Chinese Patients (NCT01602510) 6–16 week open-label phase followed by 36-week randomized, double-blind phase (1:1 lamotrigine 200 mg/day vs. placebo) 264 randomized Chinese adults with bipolar I disorder (lamotrigine n=131; placebo n=133) Time from entry into randomized double-blind phase to intervention for relapse/recurrence of a mood episode (TIME) Post hoc: TIME by baseline CGI-S score and baseline HDRS/YMRS severity Lamotrigine well tolerated; no new safety signals reported

CAPLYTA's Consistent Safety Profile and Future in Bipolar I

Across schizophrenia trials, lumateperone 42 mg demonstrated a tolerability profile closely aligned with placebo. In a pooled analysis of three randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials (n = 1,073), rates of discontinuation due to treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) with lumateperone 42 mg were 0.5%, equivalent to placebo (0.5%) and markedly lower than risperidone 4 mg (4.7%). The only TEAEs occurring at a rate of ≥5% and twice that of placebo were somnolence/sedation and dry mouth. Mean changes from baseline in metabolic parameters and prolactin were similar to or reduced relative to placebo, and rates of extrapyramidal symptom (EPS)-related TEAEs were similar to placebo and lower than risperidone. In a 12-month open-label continuation study, four TEAEs occurred in 5% or more of participants — diarrhea, dry mouth, weight decrease, and headache — while prolactin, metabolic labs, BMI, and weight all decreased compared with standard of care. A systematic review of four clinical studies similarly concluded that lumateperone demonstrated placebo-level rates of weight gain, metabolic disruption, akathisia, EPS (excluding akathisia), and prolactin elevation across short-term trials of 4–6 weeks.

In bipolar depression, the safety and tolerability profile of lumateperone 42 mg was consistent with findings from schizophrenia studies. In a Phase 3 randomized placebo-controlled trial in patients with bipolar I or bipolar II disorder experiencing a major depressive episode, somnolence and nausea were the only TEAEs occurring at a clinically meaningful greater rate than placebo; the incidence of EPS-related TEAEs was low and similar to placebo, with minimal changes in weight, vital signs, and metabolic or endocrine assessments. A 6-month open-label extension study in bipolar depression (n = 127) reported that 42.5% of patients experienced a drug-related TEAE, with the most common being headache (20.5%), dry mouth (11.8%), dizziness (10.2%), and nausea (10.2%); 92% of TEAEs were mild or moderate in severity, and no notable changes in EPS scores, cardiometabolic parameters, or body morphology were observed. A separate Phase 3 randomized trial evaluating lumateperone 28 mg and 42 mg as monotherapy for bipolar depression reported that both doses were well tolerated, with low EPS risk and minimal changes in weight, prolactin, and cardiometabolic or endocrine parameters, though neither dose achieved significant improvement versus placebo in the primary endpoint, attributed to a high placebo response.

In major depressive disorder (MDD), a 26-week Phase 3 open-label extension study evaluated lumateperone 42 mg adjunctive to antidepressant therapy in patients with inadequate antidepressant response (n = 809). Of these, 67.7% experienced at least one TEAE; the most common TEAEs occurring in ≥5% of patients were headache (16.6%), dizziness (10.6%), dry mouth (8.0%), nausea (7.7%), somnolence (7.2%), diarrhea (6.2%), and nasopharyngitis (5.2%). The majority (98.9%) of TEAEs were mild-to-moderate in severity. The rate of EPS-related TEAEs per broad standardized MedDRA query was low at 3.8%, with no notable changes in EPS scales, body morphology, or cardiometabolic parameters from double-blind baseline to end of open-label treatment, and no emergence of suicidal behavior during treatment.

CAPLYTA's Manic Success: A New Horizon for Bipolar I Treatment

The recent announcement regarding CAPLYTA® (lumateperone) marks a pivotal moment for the treatment of bipolar I disorder. With positive Phase 3 results demonstrating significant and rapid reduction in manic symptoms, lumateperone is poised to become a truly comprehensive option for patients navigating the complexities of this condition. This success builds upon its existing approvals for bipolar depression and schizophrenia, underscoring its unique pharmacological profile that modulates serotonergic, dopaminergic, and glutamatergic systems.

For clinicians and patients, the prospect of a single agent capable of addressing both the acute manic and depressive phases of bipolar I disorder is highly appealing. The rapid onset of action, with significant improvement in manic symptoms observed as early as Day 3, is particularly critical in acute care settings. Furthermore, lumateperone's established safety and tolerability profile—characterized by a low incidence of metabolic side effects, weight gain, and extrapyramidal symptoms—offers a distinct advantage over many older atypical antipsychotics, which often present significant long-term tolerability challenges.

However, as with any emerging therapy, certain considerations remain. While the acute efficacy and safety data are robust, the long-term picture for chronic management of bipolar I disorder, encompassing both poles, will require further real-world evidence. Additionally, while lumateperone has shown promise in mixed features, the broader literature points to an ongoing need for more consistent definitions and dedicated studies in this nuanced patient population. The competitive landscape also means that while lumateperone offers a compelling profile, its comparative effectiveness and tolerability against other established agents in diverse patient cohorts will be closely watched. Ultimately, this development positions lumateperone as a strong contender to reshape treatment paradigms, offering a more streamlined and potentially better-tolerated approach to managing bipolar I disorder.

Frequently Asked Questions

Can Caplyta cause a manic episode?
While Caplyta (lumateperone) is indicated for depressive episodes associated with bipolar disorder, there is a risk of mood switching to mania or hypomania in susceptible individuals. Atypical antipsychotics, including lumateperone, can sometimes lead to treatment-emergent mania or hypomania, particularly in patients with bipolar disorder. Patients should be monitored for clinical worsening and emergence of mood elevation during treatment.
What does a manic episode look like?
A manic episode is defined by a distinct period of abnormally and persistently elevated, expansive, or irritable mood and abnormally and persistently increased goal-directed activity or energy, lasting at least one week. During this period, individuals exhibit three or more (four if mood is only irritable) of the following symptoms: inflated self-esteem or grandiosity, decreased need for sleep, pressured speech, flight of ideas, distractibility, increased psychomotor agitation, and excessive involvement in high-risk activities. These symptoms are severe enough to cause marked impairment in social or occupational functioning or to necessitate hospitalization.
What is dysphoric mania?
Dysphoric mania, or a manic episode with mixed features, describes a presentation of bipolar disorder where an individual meets full criteria for a manic or hypomanic episode while simultaneously experiencing at least three prominent depressive symptoms. These mixed features can include significant dysphoria, irritability, anxiety, and suicidal ideation co-occurring with elevated mood, increased energy, and racing thoughts. This subtype is often associated with greater severity, higher rates of comorbidity, and an increased risk of suicide compared to pure manic episodes. Its complex symptom profile can present diagnostic and therapeutic challenges.
Can you recover from a manic episode?
Individuals can achieve resolution of acute manic episode symptoms with appropriate pharmacological and psychosocial interventions. While acute recovery is common, bipolar disorder, characterized by manic episodes, is a chronic condition with a high risk of recurrence. Sustained remission and functional recovery typically require ongoing maintenance treatment and adherence to a comprehensive management plan to prevent future episodes.
What are the 4 A's of mania?
The "4 A's" of mania are a clinical mnemonic encompassing key symptomatic domains: **Affect** (elevated, expansive, or irritable mood), **Activity** (increased goal-directed activity or psychomotor agitation), **Attention** (distractibility and poor concentration), and **Appetite** (reduced need for sleep and increased engagement in pleasurable, often risky, activities). These domains help characterize the core features of a manic episode.
What are manic episodes?
Manic episodes are distinct periods of abnormally and persistently elevated, expansive, or irritable mood, accompanied by abnormally and persistently increased goal-directed activity or energy. These episodes must last at least one week and be present most of the day, nearly every day, or for any duration if hospitalization is necessary. They are characterized by at least three (or four if the mood is only irritable) specific symptoms, such as grandiosity, decreased need for sleep, or flight of ideas, leading to significant functional impairment or psychotic features.
What to do when someone you love is having a manic episode?
Prioritize immediate safety for the individual and those around them, as impaired judgment and impulsivity are common during a manic episode. Facilitate urgent psychiatric evaluation and intervention, which may necessitate hospitalization for stabilization and medication management. Maintain a calm, low-stimulation environment, avoid confrontation, and communicate clearly and concisely while offering empathetic support.
How is mania managed?
Acute mania management primarily involves pharmacotherapy to stabilize mood and reduce agitation. First-line treatments include mood stabilizers such as lithium or valproate, often combined with atypical antipsychotics like olanzapine or quetiapine. Benzodiazepines may be used for acute agitation, and electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is considered for severe or refractory cases. Long-term management focuses on maintenance pharmacotherapy to prevent recurrence.

References

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